Joacgroso wrote:Is ToS playerbase really that big? There are usually 100-150 ToS games being played at the same time (right now 113), which is 2250 players at best. Is that really a significant amount?
Let's say that there are 2,000 people online on average. I remember them saying that they were hoping for a 10-15% conversion rate to Coven, so let's assume that 10% of active ToS users immediately move to TiS. This is likely far lower than the actual number since TiS is a completely new game and ToS will almost certainly gradually die off after this. That means 200 TiS players at any given time. Among Us has 10 players, so TiS would likely be similar. That would mean 200/10 = 20 games at any one time. I looked up the average length of an Among Us game and it said 10-15 minutes, which feels high imo. Since TiS will be more complex, we can take the upper estimate of 15 minutes. 15 minutes / 20 games = 45 seconds to start a game. Even if there are 2-3 different modes with their own rolelists, it shouldn't be a problem to get a full lobby.
Assuming the average ToS player spends an hour playing per day, there are 2000 people * 24 hours / 1 hour = 48,000 active ToS players. Using the same 10% conversion rate to TiS, there would be 4,800 active TiS players just off of ToS.
A few thousand players is definitely not a lot, but it's more than enough to fill a lobby and prevent the game from being dead and flopping right off the bat. Of course with marketing they should be able to quickly get far more users, but it's a relatively safe bet that the game isn't going to be a complete failure.
dbpeanut wrote:Joacgroso wrote:Is ToS playerbase really that big? There are usually 100-150 ToS games being played at the same time (right now 113), which is 2250 players at best. Is that really a significant amount?
TOS's active playerbase is at best close to 10k. Inactive is much larger.
Keep in mind though that I'm only going off of what info is available to me.
That being said, a lot of the active playerbase is unaware of current events.
An active playerbase of 10k with 2k players online would mean that most players are online for 24 hours * 2k / 10k = 4.8 hours per day. I would consider myself an active player but I'm probably on less than 15 minutes per day on average. I spend a lot more time on the forums though. There are probably many casual players who play 1-2 games every few days when they feel like it.