SFM 67: Christmas Paranoia Mafia-Game Over-Christmas Saved?

[LOLingHyena]

That's not what I'm saying

I'm saying why did you spend all that time coming to that pool if you ended up just concluding that Uzay/Poly weren't TvT?

Because I wanted a backup plan in the event that I'm somehow wrong about Uzay and Poly.

Remember, before I came up with this plan, I wanted to actually just leave Uzay, Poly, and Michael off the table and just treat the three of them as one confirmed townslot. Here, I'll pull up that post, too, if you wanted to see it.

[Chemist1422]

alright cool

sorry if you think I'm wasting your time I just wanted to make sure your logic was consistent

Can you order the [Uzay/Poly], [Chemist/Michael/Acidic], [Et/Wabbit/Multi/kosmo] slots from towniest to scummiest?

like within each bracket

[LOLingHyena]

Here it is:

I feel like my frustration is becoming a detriment to my ability to read people right now, so I'm going to try to do something else.

I did some thinking, and [Uzay, Michael, Poly] -- is it unreasonable to think that there is AT LEAST one town in this group? If Uzay is scum, I think Poly might be his townpeek, which would make Poly the "at least one town" in this scenario with Michael still being a question mark. If Poly is scum, does that increase the likelihood of Uzay and Michael being town? Uzay was wrong on Jackson though, so I dunno if this holds up strongly for him, but in Michael's case, I think it kinda applies? So, Michael would be the "at least one town" in this scenario. Finally, if Michael is scum... I don't know if this affects how I'm reading Uzay and Poly? But it would make me feel confident in my own reads again, which in turn would lead me to believe Poly, again, would be the "at least one town" in this scenario.

If we can confirm that there is at least ONE town in that group, then I might use [Uzay/Michael/Poly] as a single slot in my towncore for now and try to look outside of it for scum.

Also, if we can somehow confirm that there are TWO town in that group without lynching any of them, then there's at least 3 scum outside of this group, which would further motivate me to start looking outside of [Uzay/Michael/Poly].

[Chemist1422]

how did michael leave that pool?

[polypies73]

hint: i'm the town in the group.

also can i become town leader if uzay flips scum

[Chemist1422]

hint: i'm the town in the group.

also can i become town leader if uzay flips scum

no town leaders are illegal

hyena just wallposts a lot and we're scared of him

[LOLingHyena]

alright cool

sorry if you think I'm wasting your time I just wanted to make sure your logic was consistent

Can you order the [Uzay/Poly], [Chemist/Michael/Acidic], [Et/Wabbit/Multi/kosmo] slots from towniest to scummiest?

like within each bracket

No, no, I didn't think you're wasting my time. I was worried for a moment that you thought I was wasting MY time by coming up with that plan. (Yes, that's how on edge I am right now in this game x_x)

Anyway,
[Poly, Uzay]
[Chemist, Michael, Acidic]
[**Multi, Kosmo/Wabbit, ET]

**Multi moved to the top of his respective tier just now in my eyes with the play against Acidic. Before, I would've had him somewhere below Kosmo and Wabbit.

[LOLingHyena]

alright cool

sorry if you think I'm wasting your time I just wanted to make sure your logic was consistent

Can you order the [Uzay/Poly], [Chemist/Michael/Acidic], [Et/Wabbit/Multi/kosmo] slots from towniest to scummiest?

like within each bracket

No, no, I didn't think you're wasting my time. I was worried for a moment that you thought I was wasting MY time by coming up with that plan. (Yes, that's how on edge I am right now in this game x_x)

Anyway,
[Poly, Uzay]
[Chemist, Michael, Acidic]
[**Multi, Kosmo/Wabbit, ET]

**Multi moved to the top of his respective tier just now in my eyes with the play against Acidic. Before, I would've had him somewhere below Kosmo and Wabbit.

Basically, how I'm feeling right now is that Uzay, Acidic, and ET can probably die anytime.

[Chemist1422]

okay

mine's probably the same as yours but swapping kosmo and Multi and Michael and Acidic

[LOLingHyena]

okay

mine's probably the same as yours but swapping kosmo and Multi and Michael and Acidic

Michael and Acidic are the pair I want to resolve tomorrow. I was favoring lynching Michael first earlier (especially since it would have given me info on BOTH Acidic and you), but Multi's play against Acidic is starting to sway my opinion there.

As for Kosmo, putting her in the top position instead of Multi is reasonable. I feel okay with Kosmo at the moment, but there were a couple things (which I'll look into further tomorrow depending on flips) that kinda caught my attention.

[Eragon1329]

Day will end in about an hour and 40 minutes. vote count soon.™

[LOLingHyena]

Also, again,

EoD is at 4:30AM for me which is amazing.
I’d prefer a lynch within Michael/Et/Multi/Chemist/Wabbit
If one them flipped town then vengekill someone in those 5. That’d be best for clearing but nope no chance of a CFD due to time zones so I’m forced to vote Uzay
/vote Uzay

Predicting it now, Uzay flips town and vengekills Poly who is also town and we are left with those 5 mentioned above to deal with -_-

I think Sparking is very reasonable to be concerned here. I think the entire group of seven that I laid out is going to be hard to sort regardless of how I'm feeling at the moment, which is why I'm trying to come up with plans that'll increase our odds at finding the scum in that group. That's why I'm doing things like splitting the seven into two smaller ones, and stuff like that. I'm probably going to be doing more of that tomorrow to see if it helps us.

[MichaelgRook]

I'm 85 percent sure at this point there is no instance of lynching poly or uzay where they don't venge each other

[Eragon1329]

Lynch votes

Current Vote Count

Player	Votes	Voters
	#	Votes Until Majority

Paranoia Votes

Current Vote Count

Player	Votes	Voters
	#	Votes Until Majority

About one hour and 30 minutes remain

[MichaelgRook]

should I hammer or do we wait cause I'm free for the rest of eod

[LOLingHyena]

should I hammer or do we wait cause I'm free for the rest of eod

Let's wait for Dota to come back first. He said he'd be back soon:

lesson time, brb in 50 min

[Chemist1422]

/vote unvote

didn't realize it was that close oops

[MichaelgRook]

mkay

[LOLingHyena]

/vote unvote

didn't realize it was that close oops

It's fine. Just don't go anywhere in case we need you.

Dota should be back any moment since he made that last post about an hour ago.

[MichaelgRook]

I'm gonna try to put my vote on 30 minutes before eod so I'll be back

[Chemist1422]

if I have to go and it's not at L-1 I'll pop my vote back on

but hi I'm here for now ama

[LOLingHyena]

I just want to make sure Dota is cool with everything and that if he has anything else he wants to say right now he can say it before ending the day.

Otherwise, I'm ready.

[Chemist1422]

wait I think I was scumreading kosmo for something hold up lemme check my braincells

[dota2reporter]

i still dont get how uzay is scum, can we cfd?
i have no idea who to cfd to though im so lost cuz ive barely been participating

but multi's play regarding acidic is good so /unvote

[Chemist1422]

oh yeah it was their weird thing where she didn't wasn't comfortable voting me or wabbit even though she didn't think we were towny

sort of like uzay's thing on michael but on a smaller scale

it's whatever but I do kinda wanna bump her below multi