Episode XIX | Mafia/Witch Win

[dota2reporter]

I claimed at EoD2 already though so

what?

[Transcender]

6 UzayAltay
11 Phone0Ix
9 Chemist1422
2 MoustachioMario
3 Google
12 MrChuckleteeth
7 TheWabbit
4 EvilDeanius0
13 roz1roz
1 xUltiix
8 dota2reporter
10 Flake
5 ladd

number implies who claims when

Wat
In that order? I claimed sod1

[dota2reporter]

the hell? when did yall manage to claim

[TheWabbit]

6 UzayAltay
11 Phone0Ix
9 Chemist1422
2 MoustachioMario
3 Google
12 MrChuckleteeth
7 TheWabbit
4 EvilDeanius0
13 roz1roz
1 xUltiix
8 dota2reporter
10 Flake
5 ladd

number implies who claims when

fuck it i'm claiming anyway

cop.
2/3 of my cop targets died the night i checked them
when i wasted a check on htg it completely destroyed my will to live

n1 - htg
n2 - google: NS
n3 - evan

[TheWabbit]

So Uzay and Roz contains a mafia

And EvilD, Jamez, Flake and Google probably are also 4 scums

'k

probably in that order of which is likelier than not

convenient soft here because of that google NS check

[dota2reporter]

why check evan?

[Transcender]

NO. ONE. ELSE. CLAIM. YET.

Most of us have claimed
Claim

[TheWabbit]

why check evan?

last minute "fuck it" check
i thought of him over ladd because there'd been talks about neutral!ladd and i'm not able to find witch and arso

[dota2reporter]

i will assume anyone else claiming not in the order we establish is scum from now

so that means you agree with my order or what? shouldnt we have multiple and use the mean number

[dota2reporter]

why check evan?

last minute "fuck it" check
i thought of him over ladd because there'd been talks about neutral!ladd and i'm not able to find witch and arso

you were originally checking ladd or somebody else?

[TheWabbit]

originally set from ladd because they don't feel okay tonally

until i reread and saw thoughts about neutral!ladd which discouraged me from continuing the check

quickly ran over my reads and i'm dead uncertain about evan with how they're playing their cards

[TheWabbit]

why not coerce everyone to make a list

[MrChuckleteeth]

I was doused.

[dota2reporter]

originally set from ladd because they don't feel okay tonally

until i reread and saw thoughts about neutral!ladd which discouraged me from continuing the check

quickly ran over my reads and i'm dead uncertain about evan with how they're playing their cards

okay fair

[dota2reporter]

im fine with flake doing the list

[UzayAltay]

i am thinking this for order of claim

1. xUltiix
2. ladd
3. EvilDeanius0
4. MoustachioMario
5. UzayAltay
6. dota2reporter
7. Phone0Ix
8. Flake
9. Chemist1422
10. Google
11. MrChuckleteeth
12. roz1roz

i don't give a shit if you've already made your definitive claim, claiming from now means that your claim is 100% not false

wabbit's claim was clearly definitive so he is excluded

does anyone disagree with me being the one to present the list

why roz is Ever claiming
Why You are before Chem/Google/Chuckle ?

[MrChuckleteeth]

With Evan's flip, what does everyone think about his earlier posts:

I don't think a villager could actually vote me thinking they hit a wolf here

You prefered to angleshoot instead of reading me and that was our last interaction.
Convince me to not vote you.

/vote Evan

You got 2 minutes.

I know your actual role

That's what I was going for in this post

I was about 95% sure Roz was just vanilla town laying cover

And I think this post literally jebaited the mafia into blocking me, thinking I was a PR

And then if we actually think about who would commit to blocking me with that information, I've kind of narrowed it down to where I know for a fact 2 people acknowledged my post, Uzay and Roz

So there's pretty much a 100% chance one of the two is a wolf

Is there any merit to this?

I think there is.

[MrChuckleteeth]

It is 8v3v1v1 right ?
I am remembering Phone and Flake is Doused
So
( assuming both are town )
If Arso Doused town We are at ArsoLo , right ?
Correct me If I am wrong

In that scenario, if Arso ignites tonight (assuming they aren't lynched today, or roleblocked, or douse another person) then in that case we'd lose 3 town guaranteed.

That would leave the following scenarios:

5v3v1 (Witch dies at night to mafia)
5v3v1v1(Witch or Arso are hit while immune, or the Mafia KP is roleblocked/witched into immune)
4v3v1v1(Town dies at night to mafia)
5v2v1v1(Mafia KP is witched into Mafia)

The only scenario where Town is at high risk of losing is the 4v3v1v1, as well as the 5v3v1v1, as the former would lose town majority and the latter would leave us at MyLo while scum have achieved parity with the town (if you include neutrals). 5v3v1 would also leave us at MyLo but with town still retaining majority. And 5v2v1v1 is potential MyLo if town dies at night to mafia.

The question is, are Flake and Phone both town? Because I'd lean that Flake is not mafia and therefore likelier town (since if they are doused they cannot be arsonist, only witch or mafia) but honestly either of them if not both could be evil.

[MrChuckleteeth]

I was doused.

so the arsonist is an idiot

fabulosa

Pretty much yeah.

[Transcender]

i am thinking this for order of claim

1. xUltiix
2. ladd
3. EvilDeanius0
4. MoustachioMario
5. UzayAltay
6. dota2reporter
7. Phone0Ix
8. Flake
9. Chemist1422
10. Google
11. MrChuckleteeth
12. roz1roz

i don't give a shit if you've already made your definitive claim, claiming from now means that your claim is 100% not false

wabbit's claim was clearly definitive so he is excluded

does anyone disagree with me being the one to present the list

why roz is Ever claiming
Why You are before Chem/Google/Chuckle ?

Ive claimed

[TrueGent]

Current Vote Count

Player	Votes	Voters
	#	Votes Until Majority

Not Voting: UzayAltay, Phone0Ix, MoustachioMario, MrChuckleteeth, TheWabbit, EvilDeanius0, roz1roz, xUltiix, dota2reporter, ladd

[MrChuckleteeth]

Also I am 100% confirmed not arsonist just in case that was not clear already.

[Transcender]

Also I am 100% confirmed not arsonist just in case that was not clear already.

No

[MrChuckleteeth]

If we are massclaiming I am probably claiming last or close to the bottom of the list, FYI.

[MrChuckleteeth]

i am thinking this for order of claim

1. xUltiix
2. ladd
3. EvilDeanius0
4. MoustachioMario
5. UzayAltay
6. dota2reporter
7. Phone0Ix
8. Flake
9. Chemist1422
10. Google
11. MrChuckleteeth
12. roz1roz

i don't give a shit if you've already made your definitive claim, claiming from now means that your claim is 100% not false

wabbit's claim was clearly definitive so he is excluded

does anyone disagree with me being the one to present the list

While I don't really disagree with the list particularly, I believe I should propose the list.

1. xUltiix
2. ladd
3. MoustachioMario
4. EvilDeanius0
5. dota2reporter
6. Phone0Ix
7. UzayAltay
8. roz1roz
9. Flake
10. Chemist1422
11. Google
12. MrChuckleteeth

I feel better about this list but I am open to suggestions and discussion. Wabbit, Flake, Chemist, I'm mainly talking to you here.'

Flake, I may be missing something, but why is roz at the bottom of your list?