PurpleSidewalk1 wrote:chitownmvp01 wrote:PurpleSidewalk1 wrote:chitownmvp01 wrote:PurpleSidewalk1 wrote:This is the ideal scenario for me:
Lynch Olly -> if he is town go a, if scum go b.
a
if Quantum doesn't die then Under is cleared of being stalker which means he is arso, det, or town. If another Escort/Consort dies then leyva is confirmed Stalker. If neither happens then basically, Consort or Escort, whoever is blocking leyva will either block him or not and we will see if a charge is placed or someone is doused. If the block lines up with what is observed then leyva is NK or at least Under is not NK, if not then Under is NK. If leyva is NK then Under cannot be scum, therefore I must be scum, we would lynch either leyva or I. If Under is NK then we lynch him obviously. If leyva wants to check under or I for a triple layer of certainty then he can go right ahead and do that. If Quantum wants to roleblock me then she can do that.
b
lynch Jammy and andilin because they are all obvious scum with Olly.
I don't think Under should be lynched at this time because that would make for two mislynches whereas this would only be a single mislynch at most. And if you are going to say "but what about the Parity Cop we can't kill him", I honestly don't think he is parity cop, but if he is then we will literally have every single scum because of that group of 5 people who are mafia would go to 4 people and we can spare a mislynch if we get rid of NK before N4. So we would just lynch those 4 and win the game.
We're potentially in LyLo if we ML today.
Not if we lynch NK before N4. If we lynch Olly today we will know NK tomorrow and we will not be in LyLo and then we can lynch Jammy, andilin, Macca, and leyva and just win.
Yes the role list is closed, but it's safe to assume that it's balanced. Let's say that it's a 13/4/3 setup. Today would be 9/3/2. A ML followed by a Mafia kill and 1 NK kill makes it 6/3/2, which would be LyLo.
Hey chit remember that thing that is called a survivor? They are on our team now chit. It is 7v3v1 from my PoV in which we know the NK so it is actually just 6v3 meaning that we can spare a mislynch. And even if you don't trust survivor then don't you think we can figure out who is scum when one of the four who are 99.9% mafia is a claimed sheriff? That will fall apart very soon if leyva is mafia or even not mafia.
You are assuming that Evil will vote with us, which is fine, but hopefully we don't end up needing to depend on his vote.
I see your point in lynching Olly today, but if we mislynch today and tomorrow and there is a Mafia and NK kill each the next 2 nights, Evil's vote isn't enough to win. Unless I miscalculated.
Evil actually isn't a bad lynch in LyLo if we don't have confirmed scum because then night kills further narrow things down. I hope we never get to that point though.
I also have a wild hunch that Evil is secretly Bomber.
/unvote if I didn't already do so